Models
ALKYL AMINES CHEM. LTDALKYLAMINEChemicals & Petrochemicals
₹988per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹988implied FY20 P/E 11.1× · EV/EBITDA 18.6×
Against CMP ₹1,863.00−47.0%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies39.0%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY2577%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹761₹1,441
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹1,212₹2,117
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY21–FY25 free cash flow | 1,151 |
| PV of terminal value | 3,918 |
| Enterprise value | 5,069 |
| less net debt | (16) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 5,053 |
| ÷ 5.12 crore shares | ₹988 |
77% of the value sits after FY25. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 1,021 | 1,097 | 1,189 | 1,301 | 1,441 |
| 10.50% | 941 | 1,004 | 1,079 | 1,169 | 1,279 |
| 11.00% | 872 | 926 | 988 | 1,061 | 1,150 |
| 11.50% | 813 | 858 | 911 | 972 | 1,044 |
| 12.00% | 761 | 800 | 845 | 896 | 956 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹1,863.00; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 789 · 981 · 1,224 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.58 |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.55 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.54 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 846 | 993 | 1,167 | 1,371 | 1,611 | 1,893 | 2,224 |
| growth % | — | 17.3 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 |
| EBITDA | 164 | 272 | 320 | 376 | 441 | 519 | 609 |
| margin % | 19.4 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 27.4 |
| less depreciation | (23) | (27) | (31) | (37) | (43) | (51) | (60) |
| EBIT | 141 | 245 | 288 | 339 | 398 | 467 | 549 |
| less tax on EBIT | (45) | (53) | (62) | (73) | (86) | (101) | |
| NOPAT | 200 | 235 | 276 | 325 | 381 | 448 | |
| add depreciation | 23 | 27 | 31 | 37 | 43 | 51 | 60 |
| less capex | — | 0 | 0 | (11) | (26) | (46) | (72) |
| less working-capital build | — | (31) | (36) | (43) | (50) | (59) | |
| Free cash flow to firm | — | — | 236 | 266 | 299 | 336 | 377 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||
| Present value | 224 | 227 | 231 | 233 | 236 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 48, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 245 | 288 | 339 | 398 | 467 | 549 |
| Interest at 11.7% on debt | (6) | (6) | (6) | (6) | (6) | |
| Profit before tax | 283 | 333 | 392 | 462 | 544 | |
| Profit after tax | 0 | 231 | 272 | 320 | 377 | 444 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 31 | 262 | 524 | 819 | 1,150 | 1,523 |
| Working capital | 177 | 208 | 244 | 287 | 337 | 396 |
| Net block and other assets | 575 | 544 | 518 | 500 | 495 | 507 |
| Debt | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 |
| Equity | 537 | 767 | 1,039 | 1,359 | 1,736 | 2,180 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 231 | 272 | 321 | 378 | 445 | |
| Investing (capex) | 0 | (11) | (26) | (46) | (72) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | 231 | 261 | 295 | 332 | 373 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 231 | 261 | 295 | 332 | 373 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY20 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 17.5% | 27.4% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹988 | (47.0)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.