Models
COLGATE PALMOLIVE LTD.COLPALPersonal Products
₹709per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹709implied FY26 P/E 14.3× · EV/EBITDA 9.7×
Against CMP ₹1,797.40−60.6%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies24.2%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3172%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹568₹988
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹1,782₹2,418
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 5,016 |
| PV of terminal value | 12,831 |
| Enterprise value | 17,847 |
| less net debt | 1,426 |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 19,273 |
| ÷ 27.20 crore shares | ₹709 |
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 730 | 777 | 833 | 902 | 988 |
| 10.50% | 680 | 719 | 765 | 821 | 888 |
| 11.00% | 637 | 670 | 709 | 754 | 808 |
| 11.50% | 600 | 628 | 661 | 698 | 743 |
| 12.00% | 568 | 592 | 620 | 651 | 689 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹1,797.40; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 613 · 709 · 825 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.73 |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.66 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.03 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5,226 | 5,680 | 6,040 | 6,035 | 6,035 | 6,035 | 6,035 | 6,035 | 6,035 |
| growth % | 2.5 | 8.7 | 6.3 | (0.1) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| EBITDA | 1,536 | 1,881 | 1,958 | 1,845 | 1,847 | 1,847 | 1,847 | 1,847 | 1,847 |
| margin % | 29.4 | 33.1 | 32.4 | 30.6 | 30.6 | 30.6 | 30.6 | 30.6 | 30.6 |
| less depreciation | (175) | (172) | (163) | (146) | (145) | (145) | (145) | (145) | (145) |
| EBIT | 1,361 | 1,710 | 1,795 | 1,699 | 1,702 | 1,702 | 1,702 | 1,702 | 1,702 |
| less tax on EBIT | (437) | (437) | (437) | (437) | (437) | (437) | |||
| NOPAT | 1,262 | 1,264 | 1,264 | 1,264 | 1,264 | 1,264 | |||
| add depreciation | 175 | 172 | 163 | 146 | 145 | 145 | 145 | 145 | 145 |
| less capex | (70) | (76) | (71) | (76) | (78) | (102) | (126) | (150) | (174) |
| less working-capital build | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | 1,106 | 1,123 | 1,323 | — | 1,331 | 1,307 | 1,283 | 1,259 | 1,236 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 1,263 | 1,118 | 989 | 874 | 773 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 0, dividends at 100% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 1,699 | 1,702 | 1,702 | 1,702 | 1,702 | 1,702 |
| Interest at 8% on debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Profit before tax | 1,702 | 1,702 | 1,702 | 1,702 | 1,702 | |
| Profit after tax | 1,325 | 1,264 | 1,264 | 1,264 | 1,264 | 1,264 |
| Dividends | (1,387) | (1,264) | (1,264) | (1,264) | (1,264) | (1,264) |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 1,426 | 1,492 | 1,535 | 1,554 | 1,549 | 1,520 |
| Working capital | (800) | (800) | (800) | (800) | (800) | (800) |
| Net block and other assets | 2,782 | 2,716 | 2,674 | 2,655 | 2,660 | 2,689 |
| Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Equity | 1,584 | 1,584 | 1,584 | 1,584 | 1,584 | 1,584 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 1,409 | 1,409 | 1,409 | 1,409 | 1,409 | |
| Investing (capex) | (78) | (102) | (126) | (150) | (174) | |
| Financing (dividends) | (1,264) | (1,264) | (1,264) | (1,264) | (1,264) | |
| Net change in cash | 66 | 43 | 19 | (5) | (29) | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 1,331 | 1,307 | 1,283 | 1,259 | 1,236 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 0% | 30.6% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹709 | (60.6)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.