Models
CONS. CONST. CONSORT LTDCCCLRealty
₹30per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹30implied FY26 P/E 18.2× · EV/EBITDA 32.6×
Against CMP ₹13.96+116.3%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies3.4%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3182%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹23₹45
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹13₹29
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 238 |
| PV of terminal value | 1,096 |
| Enterprise value | 1,335 |
| less net debt | 14 |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 1,349 |
| ÷ 44.68 crore shares | ₹30 |
82% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 31 | 34 | 37 | 40 | 45 |
| 10.50% | 29 | 31 | 33 | 36 | 40 |
| 11.00% | 26 | 28 | 30 | 33 | 35 |
| 11.50% | 25 | 26 | 28 | 30 | 32 |
| 12.00% | 23 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 29 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹13.96; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 23 · 30 · 39 |
| Draws below the CMP | 0% |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.70 |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.49 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.45 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 139 | 131 | 182 | 295 | 383 | 498 | 647 | 842 | 1,094 |
| growth % | 6.7 | (6.1) | 39.1 | 61.9 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| EBITDA | (32) | 654 | 65 | 41 | 53 | 69 | 90 | 117 | 152 |
| margin % | (23.1) | 500.0 | 35.6 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 13.9 |
| less depreciation | (6) | (5) | (5) | (2) | (3) | (3) | (5) | (6) | (8) |
| EBIT | (39) | 649 | 60 | 39 | 51 | 66 | 85 | 111 | 144 |
| less tax on EBIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| NOPAT | 39 | 51 | 66 | 86 | 111 | 145 | |||
| add depreciation | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| less capex | 0 | (0) | (0) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (9) |
| less working-capital build | — | (13) | (17) | (22) | (29) | (38) | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | (0) | 55 | 155 | — | 34 | 45 | 60 | 80 | 106 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 32 | 39 | 46 | 55 | 66 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 0, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 39 | 51 | 66 | 85 | 111 | 144 |
| Interest at 8% on debt | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
| Profit before tax | 51 | 66 | 85 | 111 | 144 | |
| Profit after tax | 79 | 51 | 66 | 86 | 111 | 145 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 15 | 49 | 94 | 154 | 233 | 339 |
| Working capital | 44 | 57 | 74 | 97 | 126 | 163 |
| Net block and other assets | 437 | 440 | 443 | 447 | 450 | 451 |
| Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Equity | 279 | 329 | 395 | 481 | 592 | 737 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 40 | 52 | 68 | 88 | 115 | |
| Investing (capex) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (9) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | 34 | 45 | 60 | 80 | 106 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 34 | 45 | 60 | 80 | 106 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 30% | 13.9% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹30 | 116.3% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.