Models
DAMODAR INDUSTRIES LTDDAMODARINDTextiles & Apparels
₹-40per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹(40)implied FY26 P/E (16.2)× · EV/EBITDA 2.3×
Against CMP ₹28.80−238.0%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies45.0%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3156%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹(45)₹(29)
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹20₹39
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 33 |
| PV of terminal value | 41 |
| Enterprise value | 74 |
| less net debt | (167) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | (93) |
| ÷ 2.33 crore shares | ₹(40) |
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | (39) | (37) | (35) | (32) | (29) |
| 10.50% | (41) | (39) | (38) | (35) | (33) |
| 11.00% | (42) | (41) | (40) | (38) | (36) |
| 11.50% | (44) | (43) | (42) | (40) | (38) |
| 12.00% | (45) | (44) | (43) | (42) | (41) |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹28.80; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | (55) · (40) · (25) |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.95 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.25 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.17 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 683 | 715 | 421 | 430 | 439 | 447 | 456 | 465 | 475 |
| growth % | (24.9) | 4.8 | (41.1) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| EBITDA | 37 | 32 | 19 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 35 |
| margin % | 5.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| less depreciation | (23) | (22) | (20) | (17) | (18) | (18) | (18) | (19) | (19) |
| EBIT | 14 | 11 | (1) | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| less tax on EBIT | (5) | (5) | (5) | (5) | (5) | (5) | |||
| NOPAT | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | |||
| add depreciation | 23 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
| less capex | (16) | (11) | (2) | (13) | (13) | (15) | (18) | (20) | (23) |
| less working-capital build | — | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | 44 | 59 | 35 | — | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 168, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Interest at 10% on debt | (17) | (17) | (17) | (17) | (17) | |
| Profit before tax | (2) | (2) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
| Profit after tax | 5 | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (0) |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 0 | 1 | 0 | (3) | (7) | (15) |
| Working capital | 133 | 136 | 138 | 141 | 144 | 147 |
| Net block and other assets | 209 | 204 | 201 | 201 | 202 | 206 |
| Debt | 168 | 168 | 168 | 168 | 168 | 168 |
| Equity | 148 | 147 | 146 | 145 | 144 | 144 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | |
| Investing (capex) | (13) | (15) | (18) | (20) | (23) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | 1 | (1) | (3) | (5) | (7) | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 1 | (1) | (3) | (5) | (7) | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 2% | 7.4% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹(40) | (238.0)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.