Models
GENERIC ENG CONS PROJ LTDGENCONRealty
₹2per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹2implied FY25 P/E 0.7× · EV/EBITDA 2.1×
Against CMP ₹41.40−94.4%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies45.0%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3063%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹(0)₹7
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹36₹60
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY26–FY30 free cash flow | 28 |
| PV of terminal value | 48 |
| Enterprise value | 76 |
| less net debt | (63) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 13 |
| ÷ 5.70 crore shares | ₹2 |
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10.50% | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 11.00% | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 11.50% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 12.00% | (0) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹41.40; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | (9) · 2 · 12 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.76 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.63 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.11 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 302 | 326 | 352 | 380 | 411 | 444 |
| growth % | — | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| EBITDA | 36 | 39 | 42 | 46 | 49 | 53 |
| margin % | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| less depreciation | (13) | (14) | (15) | (16) | (17) | (19) |
| EBIT | 24 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 32 | 35 |
| less tax on EBIT | (8) | (9) | (10) | (10) | (11) | (12) |
| NOPAT | 15 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 23 |
| add depreciation | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 19 |
| less capex | (10) | (11) | (13) | (16) | (19) | (22) |
| less working-capital build | — | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) | (14) |
| Free cash flow to firm | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | |
| Present value | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 67, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 24 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 32 | 35 |
| Interest at 19.8% on debt | (13) | (13) | (13) | (13) | (13) | |
| Profit before tax | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 21 | |
| Profit after tax | 12 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | (4) |
| Working capital | 130 | 141 | 152 | 164 | 177 | 192 |
| Net block and other assets | 322 | 319 | 317 | 317 | 319 | 322 |
| Debt | 67 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 67 |
| Equity | 284 | 292 | 302 | 312 | 324 | 338 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | (0) | (0) |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 18 | |
| Investing (capex) | (11) | (13) | (16) | (19) | (22) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | 0 | (0) | (1) | (3) | (4) | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 0 | (0) | (1) | (3) | (4) | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY25 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 8% | 12% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹2 | (94.4)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.