₹-0per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹(0)implied FY24 P/E (0.0)× · EV/EBITDA 5.2×
Against CMP ₹17.25−101.9%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies32.4%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY29181%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹(160)₹324
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹16₹46
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY25–FY29 free cash flow | (948) |
| PV of terminal value | 2,125 |
| Enterprise value | 1,177 |
| less net debt | (1,178) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | (1) |
| ÷ 3.80 crore shares | ₹(0) |
181% of the value sits after FY29. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 18 | 73 | 140 | 222 | 324 |
| 10.50% | (38) | 8 | 63 | 129 | 209 |
| 11.00% | (85) | (46) | (0) | 53 | 118 |
| 11.50% | (125) | (92) | (54) | (9) | 44 |
| 12.00% | (160) | (131) | (99) | (61) | (17) |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹17.25; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | (211) · (12) · 227 |
| Draws below the CMP | 57% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.88 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.35 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.20 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 64 | 160 | 393 | 963 | 1,252 | 1,628 | 2,116 | 2,751 | 3,576 |
| growth % | (22.1) | 150.8 | 144.8 | 145.3 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| EBITDA | — | — | — | 228 | 295 | 384 | 499 | 649 | 844 |
| margin % | — | — | — | 23.6 | 23.6 | 23.6 | 23.6 | 23.6 | 23.6 |
| less depreciation | — | — | — | (74) | (96) | (125) | (163) | (212) | (275) |
| EBIT | — | — | — | 153 | 199 | 259 | 336 | 437 | 569 |
| less tax on EBIT | (48) | (63) | (81) | (106) | (137) | (179) | |||
| NOPAT | 105 | 137 | 178 | 231 | 300 | 390 | |||
| add depreciation | — | — | — | 74 | 96 | 125 | 163 | 212 | 275 |
| less capex | — | — | — | (478) | (622) | (644) | (624) | (532) | (330) |
| less working-capital build | — | (46) | (59) | (77) | (100) | (130) | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | — | — | — | — | (435) | (401) | (307) | (121) | 205 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | (413) | (343) | (236) | (84) | 128 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 1,397, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 153 | 199 | 259 | 336 | 437 | 569 |
| Interest at 7.7% on debt | (108) | (108) | (108) | (108) | (108) | |
| Profit before tax | 92 | 151 | 229 | 330 | 461 | |
| Profit after tax | 60 | 63 | 104 | 157 | 226 | 316 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 218 | (290) | (765) | (1,146) | (1,340) | (1,210) |
| Working capital | 153 | 198 | 258 | 335 | 435 | 565 |
| Net block and other assets | 1,957 | 2,483 | 3,002 | 3,462 | 3,783 | 3,838 |
| Debt | 1,397 | 1,397 | 1,397 | 1,397 | 1,397 | 1,397 |
| Equity | 313 | 376 | 480 | 637 | 863 | 1,179 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 114 | 170 | 243 | 338 | 461 | |
| Investing (capex) | (622) | (644) | (624) | (532) | (330) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | (509) | (475) | (381) | (195) | 131 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | (509) | (475) | (381) | (195) | 131 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY24 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 30% | 23.6% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹(0) | (101.9)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.