Models
JAI CORP LIMITEDJAICORPLTDIndustrial Products
₹29per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹29implied FY26 P/E 2.9× · EV/EBITDA 9.4×
Against CMP ₹95.97−70.1%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies45.0%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3171%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹23₹41
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹88₹173
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 142 |
| PV of terminal value | 356 |
| Enterprise value | 498 |
| less net debt | 6 |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 504 |
| ÷ 17.55 crore shares | ₹29 |
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 30 | 32 | 34 | 37 | 41 |
| 10.50% | 27 | 29 | 31 | 34 | 36 |
| 11.00% | 26 | 27 | 29 | 31 | 33 |
| 11.50% | 24 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 30 |
| 12.00% | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 28 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹95.97; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 24 · 29 · 34 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.73 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.66 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.03 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 594 | 463 | 518 | 514 | 512 | 509 | 507 | 504 | 502 |
| growth % | (17.5) | (22.1) | 11.8 | (0.6) | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.5) |
| EBITDA | 1 | 49 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 |
| margin % | 0.2 | 10.7 | 10.2 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.3 |
| less depreciation | (13) | (12) | (11) | (12) | (12) | (12) | (12) | (12) | (12) |
| EBIT | (12) | 37 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 40 | 40 |
| less tax on EBIT | (5) | (5) | (5) | (5) | (5) | (5) | |||
| NOPAT | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 35 | |||
| add depreciation | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| less capex | (4) | (2) | (3) | (11) | (11) | (12) | (12) | (13) | (14) |
| less working-capital build | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | 68 | 39 | 42 | — | 38 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 34 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 36 | 32 | 28 | 24 | 21 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 0, dividends at 57% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 40 | 40 |
| Interest at 8% on debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Profit before tax | 41 | 41 | 41 | 40 | 40 | |
| Profit after tax | 169 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 35 |
| Dividends | (97) | (20) | (20) | (20) | (20) | (20) |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 6 | 24 | 41 | 57 | 72 | 86 |
| Working capital | 272 | 271 | 269 | 268 | 267 | 265 |
| Net block and other assets | 1,280 | 1,279 | 1,279 | 1,280 | 1,281 | 1,284 |
| Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Equity | 1,510 | 1,526 | 1,541 | 1,556 | 1,572 | 1,587 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | (0) |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 49 | 49 | 49 | 48 | 48 | |
| Investing (capex) | (11) | (12) | (12) | (13) | (14) | |
| Financing (dividends) | (20) | (20) | (20) | (20) | (20) | |
| Net change in cash | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 38 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 34 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | -0.5% | 10.3% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹29 | (70.1)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.