Models
ONE POINT ONE SOL LTDONEPOINTCommercial Services & Supplies
₹9per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹9implied FY26 P/E 5.5× · EV/EBITDA 4.9×
Against CMP ₹56.15−83.3%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies45.0%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3179%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹6₹16
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹41₹66
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 75 |
| PV of terminal value | 276 |
| Enterprise value | 351 |
| less net debt | (105) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 246 |
| ÷ 26.29 crore shares | ₹9 |
79% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| 10.50% | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 11.00% | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 11.50% | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 12.00% | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹56.15; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 1 · 9 · 16 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.94 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.22 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.20 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 140 | 170 | 256 | 313 | 382 | 466 | 569 | 694 | 847 |
| growth % | — | 21.0 | 51.0 | 22.2 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 |
| EBITDA | 33 | 51 | 62 | 71 | 87 | 106 | 129 | 158 | 192 |
| margin % | 23.6 | 30.3 | 24.2 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 22.7 |
| less depreciation | (19) | (22) | (26) | (29) | (35) | (42) | (52) | (63) | (77) |
| EBIT | 14 | 30 | 36 | 43 | 52 | 63 | 77 | 94 | 115 |
| less tax on EBIT | (11) | (14) | (17) | (20) | (25) | (30) | |||
| NOPAT | 31 | 38 | 47 | 57 | 69 | 85 | |||
| add depreciation | 19 | 22 | 26 | 29 | 35 | 42 | 52 | 63 | 77 |
| less capex | (2) | (43) | (24) | (33) | (40) | (49) | (61) | (75) | (92) |
| less working-capital build | — | (19) | (24) | (29) | (35) | (43) | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | 20 | (16) | 3 | — | 14 | 16 | 19 | 23 | 27 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 160, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 43 | 52 | 63 | 77 | 94 | 115 |
| Interest at 10% on debt | (16) | (16) | (16) | (16) | (16) | |
| Profit before tax | 36 | 47 | 61 | 78 | 99 | |
| Profit after tax | 38 | 27 | 35 | 45 | 58 | 73 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 55 | 57 | 62 | 70 | 81 | 95 |
| Working capital | 88 | 107 | 131 | 159 | 194 | 237 |
| Net block and other assets | 694 | 699 | 706 | 715 | 726 | 742 |
| Debt | 160 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 160 |
| Equity | 462 | 489 | 524 | 569 | 627 | 700 |
| Balance check | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 42 | 54 | 68 | 86 | 107 | |
| Investing (capex) | (40) | (49) | (61) | (75) | (92) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 22% | 22.7% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹9 | (83.3)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.