Models
ORACLE FIN SERV SOFT LTD.OFSSIT - Software
₹6,432per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹6,432implied FY26 P/E 16.4× · EV/EBITDA 15.7×
Against CMP ₹11,763.00−45.3%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies29.9%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3177%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹5,003₹9,285
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹6,235₹12,540
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 12,492 |
| PV of terminal value | 41,982 |
| Enterprise value | 54,474 |
| less net debt | 1,488 |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 55,962 |
| ÷ 8.70 crore shares | ₹6,432 |
77% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 6,641 | 7,122 | 7,699 | 8,404 | 9,285 |
| 10.50% | 6,136 | 6,535 | 7,008 | 7,574 | 8,267 |
| 11.00% | 5,704 | 6,040 | 6,432 | 6,896 | 7,453 |
| 11.50% | 5,329 | 5,616 | 5,946 | 6,332 | 6,787 |
| 12.00% | 5,003 | 5,249 | 5,530 | 5,854 | 6,233 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹11,763.00; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 5,306 · 6,400 · 7,727 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.62 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.53 |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.52 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5,698 | 6,373 | 6,847 | 7,672 | 8,593 | 9,624 | 10,779 | 12,072 | 13,521 |
| growth % | 9.1 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 12.1 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| EBITDA | 2,471 | 2,783 | 3,076 | 3,477 | 3,893 | 4,360 | 4,883 | 5,469 | 6,125 |
| margin % | 43.4 | 43.7 | 44.9 | 45.3 | 45.3 | 45.3 | 45.3 | 45.3 | 45.3 |
| less depreciation | (81) | (74) | (69) | (65) | (77) | (87) | (97) | (109) | (122) |
| EBIT | 2,391 | 2,708 | 3,007 | 3,412 | 3,815 | 4,273 | 4,786 | 5,360 | 6,003 |
| less tax on EBIT | (966) | (1,080) | (1,209) | (1,354) | (1,517) | (1,699) | |||
| NOPAT | 2,446 | 2,735 | 3,064 | 3,431 | 3,843 | 4,304 | |||
| add depreciation | 81 | 74 | 69 | 65 | 77 | 87 | 97 | 109 | 122 |
| less capex | (38) | (30) | (35) | (52) | (60) | (77) | (96) | (119) | (146) |
| less working-capital build | — | (151) | (169) | (189) | (212) | (238) | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | 1,720 | 1,761 | 2,164 | — | 2,602 | 2,905 | 3,243 | 3,621 | 4,042 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 2,469 | 2,484 | 2,498 | 2,513 | 2,527 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 0, dividends at 100% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 3,412 | 3,815 | 4,273 | 4,786 | 5,360 | 6,003 |
| Interest at 8% on debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Profit before tax | 3,815 | 4,273 | 4,786 | 5,360 | 6,003 | |
| Profit after tax | 2,639 | 2,735 | 3,064 | 3,431 | 3,843 | 4,304 |
| Dividends | (3,432) | (2,735) | (3,064) | (3,431) | (3,843) | (4,304) |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 1,488 | 1,354 | 1,195 | 1,007 | 785 | 523 |
| Working capital | 1,257 | 1,408 | 1,577 | 1,766 | 1,979 | 2,216 |
| Net block and other assets | 7,189 | 7,172 | 7,161 | 7,160 | 7,171 | 7,195 |
| Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Equity | 7,827 | 7,827 | 7,827 | 7,827 | 7,827 | 7,827 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 2,662 | 2,981 | 3,339 | 3,740 | 4,188 | |
| Investing (capex) | (60) | (77) | (96) | (119) | (146) | |
| Financing (dividends) | (2,735) | (3,064) | (3,431) | (3,843) | (4,304) | |
| Net change in cash | (134) | (159) | (188) | (222) | (262) | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 2,602 | 2,905 | 3,243 | 3,621 | 4,042 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 12% | 45.3% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹6,432 | (45.3)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.