Models
ROTO PUMPS LIMITEDROTOIndustrial Products
₹16per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹16implied FY26 P/E 11.5× · EV/EBITDA 5.8×
Against CMP ₹64.15−75.7%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies45.0%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3172%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹12₹22
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹48₹85
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 84 |
| PV of terminal value | 214 |
| Enterprise value | 298 |
| less net debt | (4) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 294 |
| ÷ 18.84 crore shares | ₹16 |
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 16 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 22 |
| 10.50% | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 |
| 11.00% | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 11.50% | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 12.00% | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹64.15; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 13 · 16 · 19 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.74 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.64 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.03 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 226 | 274 | 298 | 285 | 272 | 260 | 248 | 237 | 226 |
| growth % | 28.6 | 21.6 | 8.5 | (4.5) | (4.5) | (4.5) | (4.5) | (4.5) | (4.5) |
| EBITDA | 53 | 66 | 63 | 52 | 49 | 47 | 45 | 43 | 41 |
| margin % | 23.6 | 23.9 | 21.3 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 |
| less depreciation | (9) | (13) | (19) | (17) | (16) | (15) | (14) | (14) | (13) |
| EBIT | 45 | 53 | 45 | 35 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 28 |
| less tax on EBIT | (11) | (11) | (10) | (10) | (10) | (9) | |||
| NOPAT | 24 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | |||
| add depreciation | 9 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| less capex | (40) | (26) | (21) | (22) | (21) | (20) | (18) | (17) | (16) |
| less working-capital build | — | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | (10) | 12 | 15 | — | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 21 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 13 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 20, dividends at 20.3% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 35 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 28 |
| Interest at 12.4% on debt | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | |
| Profit before tax | 31 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 25 | |
| Profit after tax | 25 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| Dividends | (5) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (3) |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 17 | 33 | 49 | 65 | 81 | 96 |
| Working capital | 120 | 115 | 109 | 105 | 100 | 95 |
| Net block and other assets | 210 | 215 | 220 | 224 | 227 | 230 |
| Debt | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| Equity | 240 | 257 | 273 | 288 | 302 | 315 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 42 | 40 | 38 | 36 | 35 | |
| Investing (capex) | (21) | (20) | (18) | (17) | (16) | |
| Financing (dividends) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (3) | |
| Net change in cash | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | -4.5% | 18.1% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹16 | (75.7)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.