Models
SEDEMAC MECHATRONICS LTDSEDEMACAuto Components
₹347per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹347implied FY26 P/E —× · EV/EBITDA 7.3×
Against CMP ₹2,919.70−88.1%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies45.0%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3183%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹259₹523
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹1,413₹3,369
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 262 |
| PV of terminal value | 1,314 |
| Enterprise value | 1,577 |
| less net debt | (43) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 1,534 |
| ÷ 4.42 crore shares | ₹347 |
83% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 360 | 389 | 425 | 468 | 523 |
| 10.50% | 329 | 353 | 383 | 417 | 460 |
| 11.00% | 302 | 323 | 347 | 376 | 410 |
| 11.50% | 279 | 297 | 317 | 341 | 369 |
| 12.00% | 259 | 275 | 292 | 312 | 335 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹2,919.70; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 266 · 344 · 437 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.78 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.53 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.25 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,058 | 1,143 | 1,234 | 1,333 | 1,440 | 1,555 |
| growth % | — | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| EBITDA | 217 | 234 | 253 | 273 | 295 | 319 |
| margin % | 20.5 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 20.5 |
| less depreciation | (63) | (69) | (74) | (80) | (86) | (93) |
| EBIT | 153 | 166 | 179 | 193 | 209 | 225 |
| less tax on EBIT | (48) | (51) | (55) | (60) | (65) | (70) |
| NOPAT | 106 | 114 | 124 | 133 | 144 | 156 |
| add depreciation | 63 | 69 | 74 | 80 | 86 | 93 |
| less capex | (139) | (150) | (144) | (135) | (125) | (112) |
| less working-capital build | — | (8) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (10) |
| Free cash flow to firm | — | 26 | 46 | 69 | 96 | 127 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | |
| Present value | 24 | 39 | 53 | 67 | 79 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 51, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 153 | 166 | 179 | 193 | 209 | 225 |
| Interest at 16.8% on debt | (9) | (9) | (9) | (9) | (9) | |
| Profit before tax | 157 | 170 | 185 | 200 | 217 | |
| Profit after tax | 104 | 108 | 118 | 128 | 138 | 150 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 7 | 27 | 67 | 130 | 220 | 341 |
| Working capital | 96 | 103 | 112 | 120 | 130 | 140 |
| Net block and other assets | 711 | 792 | 861 | 917 | 955 | 974 |
| Debt | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 |
| Equity | 449 | 558 | 675 | 803 | 941 | 1,091 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 169 | 183 | 199 | 215 | 233 | |
| Investing (capex) | (150) | (144) | (135) | (125) | (112) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | 20 | 40 | 63 | 90 | 121 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 20 | 40 | 63 | 90 | 121 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 8% | 20.5% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹347 | (88.1)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.