Models
TTK HEALTHCARE LIMITEDTTKHLTCAREDiversified
₹18per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹18implied FY26 P/E 0.3× · EV/EBITDA 1.2×
Against CMP ₹1,115.00−98.4%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies45.0%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3146%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹15₹23
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹735₹1,247
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 15 |
| PV of terminal value | 12 |
| Enterprise value | 27 |
| less net debt | (2) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 25 |
| ÷ 1.41 crore shares | ₹18 |
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 23 |
| 10.50% | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
| 11.00% | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 |
| 11.50% | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 |
| 12.00% | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹1,115.00; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | (20) · 18 · 51 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.72 |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.68 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.03 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 725 | 753 | 801 | 857 | 917 | 982 | 1,050 | 1,124 | 1,202 |
| growth % | 21.0 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| EBITDA | 31 | 37 | 49 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 31 |
| margin % | 4.3 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| less depreciation | (13) | (13) | (8) | (9) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (11) | (12) |
| EBIT | 19 | 24 | 40 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
| less tax on EBIT | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (4) | (4) | |||
| NOPAT | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| add depreciation | 13 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| less capex | (12) | (10) | (13) | (6) | (6) | (8) | (10) | (12) | (14) |
| less working-capital build | — | (9) | (10) | (10) | (11) | (12) | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | (38) | (15) | (17) | — | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 24, dividends at 21.5% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 13 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
| Interest at 12.2% on debt | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | |
| Profit before tax | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Profit after tax | 66 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Dividends | (14) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 22 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 16 |
| Working capital | 128 | 137 | 147 | 157 | 168 | 179 |
| Net block and other assets | 1,179 | 1,176 | 1,174 | 1,174 | 1,175 | 1,177 |
| Debt | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| Equity | 1,115 | 1,122 | 1,130 | 1,139 | 1,148 | 1,158 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Investing (capex) | (6) | (8) | (10) | (12) | (14) | |
| Financing (dividends) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) | |
| Net change in cash | 1 | 0 | (1) | (2) | (4) | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | (1) | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 7% | 2.6% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹18 | (98.4)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.