Models
UNI ABEX ALLOY PRODUCTS LTD.BSE 504605Industrial Products
₹34,123per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹34,123implied FY26 P/E 24.1× · EV/EBITDA 20.6×
Against CMP ₹4,620.00+638.6%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies(20.0)%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3178%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹26,345₹49,645
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹2,650₹5,750
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 1,498 |
| PV of terminal value | 5,186 |
| Enterprise value | 6,684 |
| less net debt | 55 |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 6,739 |
| ÷ 0.20 crore shares | ₹34,123 |
78% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 35,254 | 37,871 | 41,011 | 44,848 | 49,645 |
| 10.50% | 32,508 | 34,683 | 37,252 | 40,336 | 44,104 |
| 11.00% | 30,158 | 31,988 | 34,123 | 36,647 | 39,675 |
| 11.50% | 28,123 | 29,681 | 31,479 | 33,576 | 36,055 |
| 12.00% | 26,345 | 27,685 | 29,215 | 30,981 | 33,041 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹4,620.00; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 27,752 · 33,983 · 41,564 |
| Draws below the CMP | 0% |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.61 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.59 |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.47 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 164 | 180 | 193 | 219 | 248 | 282 | 320 | 363 | 412 |
| growth % | 20.0 | 9.8 | 7.3 | 13.3 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
| EBITDA | 28 | 49 | 44 | 325 | 369 | 419 | 475 | 540 | 612 |
| margin % | 17.0 | 27.4 | 22.8 | 148.6 | 148.6 | 148.6 | 148.6 | 148.6 | 148.6 |
| less depreciation | (4) | (5) | (5) | (5) | (6) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) |
| EBIT | 24 | 45 | 39 | 320 | 363 | 412 | 468 | 531 | 603 |
| less tax on EBIT | (48) | (54) | (61) | (70) | (79) | (90) | |||
| NOPAT | 272 | 309 | 351 | 398 | 452 | 513 | |||
| add depreciation | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| less capex | (4) | (3) | (5) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (8) | (9) | (11) |
| less working-capital build | — | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (12) | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | 22 | 25 | 47 | — | 303 | 343 | 389 | 441 | 499 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 287 | 293 | 300 | 306 | 312 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 11, dividends at 2.5% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 320 | 363 | 412 | 468 | 531 | 603 |
| Interest at 6.3% on debt | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
| Profit before tax | 363 | 412 | 467 | 530 | 602 | |
| Profit after tax | 280 | 309 | 350 | 398 | 451 | 512 |
| Dividends | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (13) |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 67 | 361 | 695 | 1,073 | 1,502 | 1,988 |
| Working capital | 53 | 60 | 68 | 77 | 87 | 99 |
| Net block and other assets | 374 | 373 | 373 | 373 | 374 | 376 |
| Debt | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Equity | 415 | 715 | 1,057 | 1,445 | 1,885 | 2,385 |
| Balance check | 0 | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 307 | 349 | 396 | 449 | 510 | |
| Investing (capex) | (5) | (6) | (8) | (9) | (11) | |
| Financing (dividends) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (13) | |
| Net change in cash | 294 | 334 | 378 | 429 | 486 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 302 | 343 | 388 | 440 | 499 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 13.5% | 148.6% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹34,123 | 638.6% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.