Q2 earnings call: EBITDA per ton guidance raised, FY29 volume target intact
JSL · price
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On the reaction day the stock moved 0.8 pts less than Nifty Midcap 150 and 0.6 pts less than its Iron & Steel peers, over the same two closes: a difference in percentage points, not a measure of what the filing did.
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Q2 recovered from Q1 gas and logistics disruptions: revenue, EBITDA and PAT rose about 14%, 8% and 17% in sequence. H1: EBITDA INR 2,762 crore, PAT INR 1,666 crore. FY volume guidance was cut to 4-6% from 7-9%, but EBITDA per ton guidance rose to INR 20,000-22,000. Net debt was INR 3,121 crore. Exports rose 36% year on year, CARE upgraded the rating to AA+ Stable, and the FY29 target of 3.5 million tons stands. Chinese imports are a risk.
Higher per-ton EBITDA guidance and an AA+ rating support the stock, but lower volume targets and rising Chinese import pressure are risks.