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Model Note · ADITYA BIRLA REAL EST LTD · 11 September 2026Page 1 of 2
Model Note
Prepared by the reader · not a MarketPing document
ADITYA BIRLA REAL EST LTD Discounted cash flow · base FY26
ADITYA BIRLA REAL EST LTD
Value per share, this model₹(204)
CMP 2026-09-10₹1,280.00
Difference(116.0)%
Growth the CMP implies45.0%/yr
This note states the assumptions and the arithmetic of one model of ADITYA BIRLA REAL EST LTD, built on its filed FY26 consolidated statements. The value is the outcome of the assumptions below and nothing else; it is not a fair value, a target or a recommendation.
Assumptions
Input
This model
Filed reference
Revenue growth, 5 years
-5% a year
FY26 (66.6)% · 5-yr CAGR (31.1)%
EBITDA margin
-94.3%
FY26 (94.3)% · 5-yr average (12.6)%
Depreciation · capex, % of revenue
16.6% · 52.2%, fading to 1.2× depreciation
FY26 16.6% · 52.2%
Working capital, % of added revenue · tax
2558% · 25.17%
9337 working-capital days · effective 25.2%
Discount rate
11.00%
1-yr beta 1.53
After FY31
5% flat · mid-year discounting
—
Net debt · non-controlling interest · non-operating investments
₹4,274 · ₹0 · ₹0 cr
FY26 net debt ₹4,274 cr
Shares
11.17 crore
11.17 crore today
Source: SEBI results XBRL as filed with BSE/NSE, exchange prices; the reader's assumptions.
Projected cash flow to the firm
₹ crore
FY26
FY27
FY28
FY29
FY30
FY31
Revenue
407
387
367
349
332
315
growth %
(66.6)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
EBITDA
(384)
(365)
(347)
(329)
(313)
(297)
Depreciation
(68)
(64)
(61)
(58)
(55)
(52)
NOPAT
(338)
(321)
(305)
(290)
(275)
(261)
less capex
(212)
(202)
(162)
(126)
(93)
(63)
less working-capital build
—
521
495
470
447
424
Free cash flow to firm
—
62
89
112
134
152
Present value
59
76
87
93
95
Source: the model; base year as filed.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
Model Note · ADITYA BIRLA REAL EST LTD · 11 September 2026Page 2 of 2
From enterprise to equity
PV of the 5 explicit years
409
PV of the terminal value (79% of EV)
1,581
Enterprise value
1,990
less net debt
(4,274)
less non-controlling interest
0
add non-operating investments
0
Equity value
(2,284)
÷ 11.17 crore shares
₹(204)
Source: the model.
Sensitivity, ₹ per share
WACC ↓ · terminal growth →
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
10.0%
(198)
(184)
(167)
(147)
(121)
10.5%
(213)
(201)
(188)
(171)
(151)
11.0%
(226)
(216)
(204)
(191)
(175)
11.5%
(237)
(228)
(219)
(207)
(194)
12.0%
(246)
(239)
(231)
(221)
(210)
Source: the model; n/a where terminal growth reaches the discount rate.
Statement
This note is the reader's own model over publicly filed information: SEBI results XBRL filed with BSE and NSE and exchange price data, assembled by MarketPing software; every assumption above is the reader's. It contains no research recommendation, no price target and no opinion by MarketPing on the merits of any security, and is not a research report within the meaning of the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, Regulation 2(1)(w)(vii). Historical per-share figures are on the current share count. Where a figure is unavailable the table shows a dash rather than an estimate. Nothing here constitutes investment advice, an offer or a solicitation.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
