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Model Note · ALMONDZ GLOBAL SEC LTD · 11 September 2026Page 1 of 2
Model Note
Prepared by the reader · not a MarketPing document
ALMONDZ GLOBAL SEC LTD Discounted cash flow · base FY26
ALMONDZ GLOBAL SEC LTD
Value per share, this model₹35
CMP 2026-09-10₹19.20
Difference79.9%
Growth the CMP implies11.7%/yr
This note states the assumptions and the arithmetic of one model of ALMONDZ GLOBAL SEC LTD, built on its filed FY26 consolidated statements. The value is the outcome of the assumptions below and nothing else; it is not a fair value, a target or a recommendation.
Assumptions
Input
This model
Filed reference
Revenue growth, 5 years
27.5% a year
FY26 27.3% · 5-yr CAGR 25.4%
EBITDA margin
13.3%
FY26 13.3% · 5-yr average 15.2%
Depreciation · capex, % of revenue
3% · 0%, fading to 1.2× depreciation
FY26 3.0% · 0.0%
Working capital, % of added revenue · tax
0% · 26.3%
0 working-capital days · effective 26.3%
Discount rate
11.00%
1-yr beta 1.45
After FY31
5% flat · mid-year discounting
—
Net debt · non-controlling interest · non-operating investments
₹(6) · ₹0 · ₹0 cr
FY26 net debt ₹(6) cr
Shares
17.49 crore
17.49 crore today
Source: SEBI results XBRL as filed with BSE/NSE, exchange prices; the reader's assumptions.
Projected cash flow to the firm
₹ crore
FY26
FY27
FY28
FY29
FY30
FY31
Revenue
190
243
310
395
503
642
growth %
27.3
27.5
27.5
27.5
27.5
27.5
EBITDA
25
32
41
52
67
85
Depreciation
(6)
(7)
(9)
(12)
(15)
(19)
NOPAT
14
18
23
30
38
49
less capex
0
0
(3)
(7)
(14)
(23)
less working-capital build
—
0
0
0
0
0
Free cash flow to firm
—
26
30
35
40
45
Present value
24
26
27
28
28
Source: the model; base year as filed.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
Model Note · ALMONDZ GLOBAL SEC LTD · 11 September 2026Page 2 of 2
From enterprise to equity
PV of the 5 explicit years
132
PV of the terminal value (78% of EV)
466
Enterprise value
598
less net debt
6
less non-controlling interest
0
add non-operating investments
0
Equity value
604
÷ 17.49 crore shares
₹35
Source: the model.
Sensitivity, ₹ per share
WACC ↓ · terminal growth →
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
10.0%
36
38
42
45
50
10.5%
33
35
38
41
45
11.0%
31
32
35
37
40
11.5%
28
30
32
34
37
12.0%
27
28
30
31
33
Source: the model; n/a where terminal growth reaches the discount rate.
Statement
This note is the reader's own model over publicly filed information: SEBI results XBRL filed with BSE and NSE and exchange price data, assembled by MarketPing software; every assumption above is the reader's. It contains no research recommendation, no price target and no opinion by MarketPing on the merits of any security, and is not a research report within the meaning of the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, Regulation 2(1)(w)(vii). Historical per-share figures are on the current share count. Where a figure is unavailable the table shows a dash rather than an estimate. Nothing here constitutes investment advice, an offer or a solicitation.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
