Models
DEV ACCELERATOR LIMITEDDEVXCommercial Services & Supplies
₹14per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹14implied FY26 P/E 11.0× · EV/EBITDA 2.3×
Against CMP ₹35.12−60.8%close of 2026-09-20
Growth the CMP implies20.7%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY31100%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹6₹30
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹30₹60
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | (1) |
| PV of terminal value | 255 |
| Enterprise value | 254 |
| less net debt | (124) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 130 |
| ÷ 9.46 crore shares | ₹14 |
100% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 15 | 18 | 21 | 25 | 30 |
| 10.50% | 12 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 24 |
| 11.00% | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 |
| 11.50% | 8 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| 12.00% | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹35.12; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | (0) · 13 · 28 |
| Draws below the CMP | 97% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.93 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.27 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.16 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 226 | 244 | 264 | 285 | 307 | 332 |
| growth % | — | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| EBITDA | 109 | 118 | 128 | 138 | 149 | 161 |
| margin % | 48.5 | 48.5 | 48.5 | 48.5 | 48.5 | 48.5 |
| less depreciation | (59) | (64) | (69) | (74) | (80) | (87) |
| EBIT | 51 | 55 | 59 | 64 | 69 | 74 |
| less tax on EBIT | (22) | (24) | (26) | (28) | (30) | (32) |
| NOPAT | 28 | 31 | 33 | 36 | 39 | 42 |
| add depreciation | 59 | 64 | 69 | 74 | 80 | 87 |
| less capex | (103) | (112) | (111) | (110) | (107) | (104) |
| less working-capital build | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Free cash flow to firm | — | (17) | (9) | 0 | 12 | 25 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | |
| Present value | (16) | (8) | 0 | 8 | 15 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 145, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 51 | 55 | 59 | 64 | 69 | 74 |
| Interest at 8% on debt | (12) | (12) | (12) | (12) | (12) | |
| Profit before tax | 43 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 63 | |
| Profit after tax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 32 | 35 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 21 | (3) | (18) | (24) | (19) | (1) |
| Working capital | (9) | (9) | (9) | (9) | (9) | (9) |
| Net block and other assets | 632 | 680 | 723 | 758 | 785 | 803 |
| Debt | 145 | 145 | 145 | 145 | 145 | 145 |
| Equity | 186 | 210 | 237 | 266 | 298 | 334 |
| Balance check | 0 | (0) | (0) | (0) | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 88 | 95 | 104 | 112 | 122 | |
| Investing (capex) | (112) | (111) | (110) | (107) | (104) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | (24) | (16) | (6) | 5 | 18 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | (24) | (16) | (6) | 5 | 18 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 8% | 48.5% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹14 | (60.8)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.