Models
DRC SYSTEMS INDIA LIMITEDDRCSYSTEMSIT - Services
₹60per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹60implied FY26 P/E 40.3× · EV/EBITDA 31.6×
Against CMP ₹12.95+363.4%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies(8.8)%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3179%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹46₹88
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹12₹24
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 182 |
| PV of terminal value | 679 |
| Enterprise value | 862 |
| less net debt | 3 |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 865 |
| ÷ 14.41 crore shares | ₹60 |
79% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 62 | 67 | 72 | 79 | 88 |
| 10.50% | 57 | 61 | 66 | 71 | 78 |
| 11.00% | 53 | 56 | 60 | 65 | 70 |
| 11.50% | 49 | 52 | 55 | 59 | 63 |
| 12.00% | 46 | 48 | 51 | 54 | 58 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹12.95; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 43 · 60 · 81 |
| Draws below the CMP | 0% |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.81 |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.39 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.38 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 26 | 48 | 65 | 96 | 124 | 161 | 210 | 273 | 355 |
| growth % | — | 86.1 | 37.1 | 46.1 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| EBITDA | 6 | 15 | 21 | 27 | 36 | 46 | 60 | 78 | 101 |
| margin % | 22.9 | 31.1 | 31.7 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| less depreciation | (1) | (3) | (4) | (7) | (9) | (11) | (15) | (19) | (25) |
| EBIT | 5 | 12 | 16 | 20 | 27 | 35 | 45 | 59 | 76 |
| less tax on EBIT | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) | (4) | (6) | |||
| NOPAT | 19 | 25 | 32 | 42 | 54 | 70 | |||
| add depreciation | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 25 |
| less capex | (4) | (24) | (23) | (0) | (0) | (4) | (9) | (17) | (30) |
| less working-capital build | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | (1) | 3 | 10 | — | 33 | 40 | 48 | 56 | 65 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 32 | 34 | 37 | 39 | 41 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 0, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 20 | 27 | 35 | 45 | 59 | 76 |
| Interest at 8% on debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Profit before tax | 27 | 35 | 45 | 59 | 76 | |
| Profit after tax | 19 | 25 | 32 | 42 | 54 | 70 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 3 | 36 | 76 | 124 | 180 | 245 |
| Working capital | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) |
| Net block and other assets | 154 | 145 | 137 | 132 | 130 | 135 |
| Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Equity | 113 | 137 | 169 | 211 | 265 | 336 |
| Balance check | 0 | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 33 | 44 | 57 | 74 | 96 | |
| Investing (capex) | (0) | (4) | (9) | (17) | (30) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | 33 | 40 | 48 | 56 | 65 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 33 | 40 | 48 | 56 | 65 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 30% | 28.6% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹60 | 363.4% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.