Models
GAUDIUM IVF N WOMEN H LGAUDIUMIVF
₹62per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹62implied FY26 P/E —× · EV/EBITDA 12.3×
Against CMP ₹118.10−47.6%close of 2026-09-10
Growth the CMP implies37.7%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3175%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹48₹90
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹69₹163
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 114 |
| PV of terminal value | 350 |
| Enterprise value | 464 |
| less net debt | (14) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 450 |
| ÷ 7.28 crore shares | ₹62 |
75% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 64 | 69 | 74 | 82 | 90 |
| 10.50% | 59 | 63 | 68 | 73 | 80 |
| 11.00% | 55 | 58 | 62 | 66 | 72 |
| 11.50% | 51 | 54 | 57 | 61 | 65 |
| 12.00% | 48 | 50 | 53 | 56 | 60 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹118.10; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 51 · 61 · 74 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.67 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.66 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.25 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 104 | 113 | 122 | 131 | 142 | 153 |
| growth % | — | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| EBITDA | 38 | 41 | 44 | 47 | 51 | 55 |
| margin % | 36.1 | 36.1 | 36.1 | 36.1 | 36.1 | 36.1 |
| less depreciation | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (4) |
| EBIT | 35 | 38 | 41 | 44 | 48 | 52 |
| less tax on EBIT | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (11) | (12) |
| NOPAT | 27 | 29 | 31 | 34 | 36 | 39 |
| add depreciation | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| less capex | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) | (4) | (4) |
| less working-capital build | — | (4) | (4) | (4) | (5) | (5) |
| Free cash flow to firm | — | 26 | 28 | 29 | 32 | 34 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | |
| Present value | 24 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 23, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 35 | 38 | 41 | 44 | 48 | 52 |
| Interest at 15.1% on debt | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | |
| Profit before tax | 34 | 38 | 41 | 44 | 48 | |
| Profit after tax | 24 | 26 | 29 | 31 | 34 | 37 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 9 | 32 | 57 | 84 | 113 | 144 |
| Working capital | 45 | 48 | 52 | 56 | 61 | 66 |
| Net block and other assets | 140 | 139 | 139 | 139 | 139 | 140 |
| Debt | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
| Equity | 152 | 179 | 207 | 238 | 272 | 309 |
| Balance check | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 25 | 28 | 30 | 33 | 35 | |
| Investing (capex) | (2) | (3) | (3) | (4) | (4) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | 23 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 31 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 23 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 31 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 8% | 36.1% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹62 | (47.6)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.