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Model Note · GREENPANEL INDUSTRIES LTD · 22 September 2026Page 1 of 2
Model Note
Prepared by the reader · not a MarketPing document
GREENPANEL INDUSTRIES LTD Discounted cash flow · base FY24
GREENPANEL INDUSTRIES LTD
Value per share, this model₹57
CMP 2026-09-21₹172.50
Difference(66.8)%
Growth the CMP implies18.9%/yr
This note states the assumptions and the arithmetic of one model of GREENPANEL INDUSTRIES LTD, built on its filed FY24 consolidated statements. The value is the outcome of the assumptions below and nothing else; it is not a fair value, a target or a recommendation.
Assumptions
Input
This model
Filed reference
Revenue growth, 5 years
-5% a year
FY24 (12.1)% · 5-yr CAGR —%
EBITDA margin
15.7%
FY24 15.7% · 5-yr average 20.1%
Depreciation · capex, % of revenue
4.7% · 22.2%, fading to 1.2× depreciation
FY24 4.7% · 22.2%
Working capital, % of added revenue · tax
7.7% · 22.1%
28 working-capital days · effective 22.1%
Discount rate
11.00%
1-yr beta 1.15
After FY29
5% flat · mid-year discounting
—
Net debt · non-controlling interest · non-operating investments
₹228 · ₹0 · ₹0 cr
FY24 net debt ₹228 cr
Shares
12.26 crore
12.26 crore today
Source: SEBI results XBRL as filed with BSE/NSE, exchange prices; the reader's assumptions.
Projected cash flow to the firm
₹ crore
FY24
FY25
FY26
FY27
FY28
FY29
Revenue
1,567
1,489
1,414
1,344
1,277
1,213
growth %
(12.1)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
EBITDA
246
234
222
211
200
190
Depreciation
(73)
(70)
(66)
(63)
(60)
(57)
NOPAT
135
128
121
115
109
104
less capex
(347)
(331)
(255)
(187)
(125)
(68)
less working-capital build
—
6
6
5
5
5
Free cash flow to firm
—
(127)
(62)
(3)
50
97
Present value
(120)
(53)
(3)
35
61
Source: the model; base year as filed.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
Model Note · GREENPANEL INDUSTRIES LTD · 22 September 2026Page 2 of 2
From enterprise to equity
PV of the 5 explicit years
(81)
PV of the terminal value (109% of EV)
1,012
Enterprise value
931
less net debt
(228)
less non-controlling interest
0
add non-operating investments
0
Equity value
703
÷ 12.26 crore shares
₹57
Source: the model.
Sensitivity, ₹ per share
WACC ↓ · terminal growth →
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
10.0%
61
69
79
91
106
10.5%
52
59
67
77
89
11.0%
45
51
57
65
75
11.5%
39
44
49
56
64
12.0%
33
37
42
48
54
Source: the model; n/a where terminal growth reaches the discount rate.
Statement
This note is the reader's own model over publicly filed information: SEBI results XBRL filed with BSE and NSE and exchange price data, assembled by MarketPing software; every assumption above is the reader's. It contains no research recommendation, no price target and no opinion by MarketPing on the merits of any security, and is not a research report within the meaning of the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, Regulation 2(1)(w)(vii). Historical per-share figures are on the current share count. Where a figure is unavailable the table shows a dash rather than an estimate. Nothing here constitutes investment advice, an offer or a solicitation.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
