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Model Note · GUJARAT CONTAINERS LTD. · 11 September 2026Page 1 of 2
Model Note
Prepared by the reader · not a MarketPing document
GUJARAT CONTAINERS LTD. Discounted cash flow · base FY26
GUJARAT CONTAINERS LTD.
Value per share, this model₹197
CMP 2026-09-10₹175.05
Difference12.6%
Growth the CMP implies45.0%/yr
This note states the assumptions and the arithmetic of one model of GUJARAT CONTAINERS LTD., built on its filed FY26 consolidated statements. The value is the outcome of the assumptions below and nothing else; it is not a fair value, a target or a recommendation.
Assumptions
Input
This model
Filed reference
Revenue growth, 5 years
-4% a year
FY26 (3.9)% · 5-yr CAGR 10.8%
EBITDA margin
8.8%
FY26 8.8% · 5-yr average 10.8%
Depreciation · capex, % of revenue
1.3% · 0.4%, fading to 1.2× depreciation
FY26 1.3% · 0.4%
Working capital, % of added revenue · tax
24.7% · 25.4%
90 working-capital days · effective 25.4%
Discount rate
11.00%
1-yr beta 0.35
After FY31
5% flat · mid-year discounting
—
Net debt · non-controlling interest · non-operating investments
₹3 · ₹0 · ₹0 cr
FY26 net debt ₹3 cr
Shares
0.57 crore
0.57 crore today
Source: SEBI results XBRL as filed with BSE/NSE, exchange prices; the reader's assumptions.
Projected cash flow to the firm
₹ crore
FY26
FY27
FY28
FY29
FY30
FY31
Revenue
146
140
135
129
124
119
growth %
(3.9)
(4.0)
(4.0)
(4.0)
(4.0)
(4.0)
EBITDA
13
12
12
11
11
10
Depreciation
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
NOPAT
8
8
8
7
7
7
less capex
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(2)
(2)
less working-capital build
—
1
1
1
1
1
Free cash flow to firm
—
11
10
9
8
8
Present value
10
8
7
6
5
Source: the model; base year as filed.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
Model Note · GUJARAT CONTAINERS LTD. · 11 September 2026Page 2 of 2
From enterprise to equity
PV of the 5 explicit years
36
PV of the terminal value (69% of EV)
79
Enterprise value
114
less net debt
(3)
less non-controlling interest
0
add non-operating investments
0
Equity value
111
÷ 0.57 crore shares
₹197
Source: the model.
Sensitivity, ₹ per share
WACC ↓ · terminal growth →
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
10.0%
203
217
234
254
280
10.5%
189
200
214
230
250
11.0%
176
186
197
210
227
11.5%
165
173
183
194
207
12.0%
156
163
171
180
191
Source: the model; n/a where terminal growth reaches the discount rate.
Statement
This note is the reader's own model over publicly filed information: SEBI results XBRL filed with BSE and NSE and exchange price data, assembled by MarketPing software; every assumption above is the reader's. It contains no research recommendation, no price target and no opinion by MarketPing on the merits of any security, and is not a research report within the meaning of the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, Regulation 2(1)(w)(vii). Historical per-share figures are on the current share count. Where a figure is unavailable the table shows a dash rather than an estimate. Nothing here constitutes investment advice, an offer or a solicitation.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
