Models
KOVILPATTI LAKSHMI ROLLER FLOUBSE 507598Food Products
₹122per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹122implied FY26 P/E 13.6× · EV/EBITDA 7.9×
Against CMP ₹79.10+54.1%close of 8 Oct 2026
Growth the CMP implies—%no growth rate between −20% and 45% a year brings the value to the CMP on your other inputs
Value after FY3165%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹81₹203
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹75₹131
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 68 |
| PV of terminal value | 124 |
| Enterprise value | 192 |
| less net debt | (82) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 110 |
| ÷ 0.90 crore shares | ₹122 |
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 128 | 142 | 158 | 178 | 203 |
| 10.50% | 114 | 125 | 139 | 155 | 174 |
| 11.00% | 101 | 111 | 122 | 135 | 151 |
| 11.50% | 90 | 98 | 108 | 119 | 132 |
| 12.00% | 81 | 88 | 96 | 105 | 116 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹79.10; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 90 · 122 · 160 |
| Draws below the CMP | 4% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.74 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.65 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.03 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 332 | 411 | 427 | 411 | 396 | 383 | 369 | 356 | 344 |
| growth % | 21.5 | 23.7 | 3.8 | (3.7) | (3.5) | (3.5) | (3.5) | (3.5) | (3.5) |
| EBITDA | 19 | 24 | 15 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| margin % | 5.7 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| less depreciation | (5) | (6) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (6) | (6) |
| EBIT | 14 | 17 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| less tax on EBIT | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | |||
| NOPAT | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | |||
| add depreciation | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| less capex | (3) | (9) | (10) | 0 | 0 | (2) | (4) | (6) | (7) |
| less working-capital build | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | 6 | 8 | 32 | — | 22 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 12 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 21 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 7 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 82, dividends at 5.6% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| Interest at 12.1% on debt | (10) | (10) | (10) | (10) | (10) | |
| Profit before tax | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | |
| Profit after tax | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Dividends | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 0 | 14 | 26 | 34 | 41 | 44 |
| Working capital | 64 | 62 | 60 | 57 | 55 | 53 |
| Net block and other assets | 129 | 122 | 117 | 115 | 114 | 115 |
| Debt | 82 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 82 |
| Equity | 75 | 79 | 84 | 88 | 91 | 94 |
| Balance check | 0 | (0) | (0) | 0 | (0) | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | |
| Investing (capex) | 0 | (2) | (4) | (6) | (7) | |
| Financing (dividends) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
| Net change in cash | 14 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | -3.5% | 5.9% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹122 | 54.1% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.