The note is the current scenario (Base). Download PDF renders this page on the server, fonts and colours exact; Print uses the browser.
Model Note · MPF Systems Limited · 11 September 2026Page 1 of 2
Model Note
Prepared by the reader · not a MarketPing document
MPF Systems Limited Discounted cash flow · base FY26
MPF Systems Limited
Value per share, this model₹248
CMP 2026-09-10₹6.98
Difference3451.5%
Growth the CMP implies(20.0)%/yr
This note states the assumptions and the arithmetic of one model of MPF Systems Limited, built on its filed FY26 consolidated statements. The value is the outcome of the assumptions below and nothing else; it is not a fair value, a target or a recommendation.
Assumptions
Input
This model
Filed reference
Revenue growth, 5 years
8% a year
FY26 —% · 5-yr CAGR —%
EBITDA margin
93.9%
FY26 93.9% · 5-yr average (339.7)%
Depreciation · capex, % of revenue
0% · 0%, fading to 1.2× depreciation
FY26 0.0% · 0.0%
Working capital, % of added revenue · tax
99.3% · 8.5%
363 working-capital days · effective 8.5%
Discount rate
11.00%
1-yr beta —
After FY31
5% flat · mid-year discounting
—
Net debt · non-controlling interest · non-operating investments
₹3 · ₹0 · ₹0 cr
FY26 net debt ₹3 cr
Shares
0.27 crore
0.27 crore today
Source: SEBI results XBRL as filed with BSE/NSE, exchange prices; the reader's assumptions.
Projected cash flow to the firm
₹ crore
FY26
FY27
FY28
FY29
FY30
FY31
Revenue
4
5
5
6
6
7
growth %
—
8.0
8.0
8.0
8.0
8.0
EBITDA
4
5
5
5
6
6
Depreciation
0
0
0
0
0
0
NOPAT
4
4
4
5
5
6
less capex
0
0
0
0
0
0
less working-capital build
—
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
Free cash flow to firm
—
4
4
4
5
5
Present value
4
3
3
3
3
Source: the model; base year as filed.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
Model Note · MPF Systems Limited · 11 September 2026Page 2 of 2
From enterprise to equity
PV of the 5 explicit years
17
PV of the terminal value (76% of EV)
53
Enterprise value
70
less net debt
(3)
less non-controlling interest
0
add non-operating investments
0
Equity value
67
÷ 0.27 crore shares
₹248
Source: the model.
Sensitivity, ₹ per share
WACC ↓ · terminal growth →
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
10.0%
256
276
299
328
364
10.5%
236
252
271
294
323
11.0%
218
232
248
267
289
11.5%
203
215
228
244
262
12.0%
190
200
211
224
240
Source: the model; n/a where terminal growth reaches the discount rate.
Statement
This note is the reader's own model over publicly filed information: SEBI results XBRL filed with BSE and NSE and exchange price data, assembled by MarketPing software; every assumption above is the reader's. It contains no research recommendation, no price target and no opinion by MarketPing on the merits of any security, and is not a research report within the meaning of the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, Regulation 2(1)(w)(vii). Historical per-share figures are on the current share count. Where a figure is unavailable the table shows a dash rather than an estimate. Nothing here constitutes investment advice, an offer or a solicitation.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
