Models
NCL RESEARCH & FINANCIAL SERVIBSE 530557Finance
₹-1per share · Base Model Note
The horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹(1)implied P/B (1.17)× on FY26 book
Against CMP ₹0.60−301.2%close of 28 Oct 2026
Cost of equity9.10%risk-free + beta × equity risk premium
Book equity, FY26₹1per share · excess returns add ₹(2)
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Excess-return schedule · ₹ crore · book equity earns your ROE; value is book plus the returns above the cost of equity
| ₹ crore | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opening book equity | 110 | 107 | 105 | 102 | 100 |
| Net income at -2.4% ROE | (3) | (3) | (3) | (2) | (2) |
| Cost of equity charge at 9.10% | (10) | (10) | (10) | (9) | (9) |
| Excess return | (13) | (12) | (12) | (12) | (11) |
| Present value | (12) | (11) | (10) | (9) | (8) |
| Closing book equity | 107 | 105 | 102 | 100 | 97 |
| Book equity today | 110 |
| PV of 5 years of excess return | (49) |
| PV of the terminal excess return, 5% flat | (190) |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | (129) |
| ÷ 107.03 crore shares | ₹(1) |
ROE is at or below the cost of equity, so every year destroys value against book and the model lands below book value. That is the arithmetic, not a view.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹0₹1
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | Excess return | ROE -2.4% | — | 9.10% | 5% | ₹(1) | (301.2)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.