Models
NEELAMALAI AGRO INDS. LNEAGIAgricultural Food & other Products
₹9,244per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹9,244implied FY26 P/E 19.7× · EV/EBITDA 18.6×
Against CMP ₹3,136.80+194.7%close of 23 Oct 2026
Growth the CMP implies(15.5)%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3177%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹7,144₹13,435
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹3,001₹3,600
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 134 |
| PV of terminal value | 441 |
| Enterprise value | 575 |
| less net debt | 0 |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 575 |
| ÷ 0.06 crore shares | ₹9,244 |
77% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 9,551 | 10,257 | 11,105 | 12,140 | 13,435 |
| 10.50% | 8,809 | 9,396 | 10,090 | 10,922 | 11,938 |
| 11.00% | 8,174 | 8,668 | 9,244 | 9,925 | 10,743 |
| 11.50% | 7,625 | 8,045 | 8,530 | 9,096 | 9,765 |
| 12.00% | 7,144 | 7,505 | 7,918 | 8,395 | 8,951 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹3,136.80; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 7,622 · 9,202 · 11,110 |
| Draws below the CMP | 0% |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.64 |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.55 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | +0.47 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 28 | 31 | 33 | 37 | 40 |
| growth % | (15.7) | 1.7 | (8.3) | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| EBITDA | 28 | 38 | 22 | 31 | 34 | 37 | 41 | 45 | 49 |
| margin % | 112.0 | 148.8 | 93.9 | 121.7 | 121.7 | 121.7 | 121.7 | 121.7 | 121.7 |
| less depreciation | (1) | (1) | (1) | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) |
| EBIT | 27 | 37 | 20 | 29 | 32 | 35 | 38 | 41 | 45 |
| less tax on EBIT | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (2) | |||
| NOPAT | 28 | 30 | 33 | 36 | 40 | 44 | |||
| add depreciation | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| less capex | (0) | (2) | (4) | (3) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) |
| less working-capital build | — | (0) | (0) | (0) | (1) | (1) | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | (3) | (6) | (8) | — | 29 | 32 | 35 | 38 | 42 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 0, dividends at 6.4% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 29 | 32 | 35 | 38 | 41 | 45 |
| Interest at 8% on debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Profit before tax | 32 | 35 | 38 | 41 | 45 | |
| Profit after tax | 29 | 30 | 33 | 36 | 40 | 44 |
| Dividends | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 0 | 27 | 57 | 89 | 125 | 165 |
| Working capital | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Net block and other assets | 333 | 335 | 336 | 337 | 338 | 339 |
| Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Equity | 327 | 356 | 387 | 421 | 458 | 499 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | (0) | (0) |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 32 | 35 | 39 | 43 | 47 | |
| Investing (capex) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | |
| Financing (dividends) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) | |
| Net change in cash | 27 | 29 | 33 | 36 | 40 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 29 | 32 | 35 | 38 | 42 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 9.5% | 121.7% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹9,244 | 194.7% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.