This note states the assumptions and the arithmetic of one model of PICCADILY SUGAR & ALLIED INDUS, built on its filed FY21 consolidated statements. The value is the outcome of the assumptions below and nothing else; it is not a fair value, a target or a recommendation.
Assumptions
Input
This model
Filed reference
Revenue growth, 5 years
-5% a year
FY21 (35.8)% · 5-yr CAGR —%
EBITDA margin
-3.5%
FY21 (3.5)% · 5-yr average 1.8%
Depreciation · capex, % of revenue
12.5% · 1.2%, fading to 1.2× depreciation
FY21 12.5% · 1.2%
Working capital, % of added revenue · tax
0% · -99.4%
-119 working-capital days · effective (99.4)%
Discount rate
11.00%
1-yr beta 0.46
After FY26
5% flat · mid-year discounting
—
Net debt · non-controlling interest · non-operating investments
₹3 · ₹0 · ₹0 cr
FY21 net debt ₹3 cr
Shares
2.33 crore
2.33 crore today
Source: SEBI results XBRL as filed with BSE/NSE, exchange prices; the reader's assumptions.
Projected cash flow to the firm
₹ crore
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY26
Revenue
28
27
25
24
23
22
growth %
(35.8)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
EBITDA
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
Depreciation
(4)
(3)
(3)
(3)
(3)
(3)
NOPAT
(9)
(8)
(8)
(8)
(7)
(7)
less capex
(0)
(0)
(1)
(2)
(3)
(3)
less working-capital build
—
0
0
0
0
0
Free cash flow to firm
—
(5)
(6)
(7)
(7)
(7)
Present value
(5)
(5)
(5)
(5)
(5)
Source: the model; base year as filed.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
Model Note · PICCADILY SUGAR & ALLIED INDUS · 29 October 2026Page 2 of 2
From enterprise to equity
PV of the 5 explicit years
(25)
PV of the terminal value (—% of EV)
(77)
Enterprise value
(102)
less net debt
(3)
less non-controlling interest
0
add non-operating investments
0
Equity value
(105)
÷ 2.33 crore shares
₹(45)
Source: the model.
Sensitivity, ₹ per share
WACC ↓ · terminal growth →
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
10.0%
(47)
(50)
(54)
(59)
(65)
10.5%
(43)
(46)
(49)
(53)
(58)
11.0%
(40)
(43)
(45)
(49)
(52)
11.5%
(38)
(40)
(42)
(45)
(48)
12.0%
(35)
(37)
(39)
(41)
(44)
Source: the model; n/a where terminal growth reaches the discount rate.
Statement
This note is the reader's own model over publicly filed information: SEBI results XBRL filed with BSE and NSE and exchange price data, assembled by MarketPing software; every assumption above is the reader's. It contains no research recommendation, no price target and no opinion by MarketPing on the merits of any security, and is not a research report within the meaning of the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, Regulation 2(1)(w)(vii). Historical per-share figures are on the current share count. Where a figure is unavailable the table shows a dash rather than an estimate. Nothing here constitutes investment advice, an offer or a solicitation.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
