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Model Note · SHANTHI GEARS LTD · 11 September 2026Page 1 of 2
Model Note
Prepared by the reader · not a MarketPing document
SHANTHI GEARS LTD Discounted cash flow · base FY26
SHANTHI GEARS LTD
Value per share, this model₹91
CMP 2026-09-10₹722.30
Difference(87.4)%
Growth the CMP implies45.0%/yr
This note states the assumptions and the arithmetic of one model of SHANTHI GEARS LTD, built on its filed FY26 consolidated statements. The value is the outcome of the assumptions below and nothing else; it is not a fair value, a target or a recommendation.
Assumptions
Input
This model
Filed reference
Revenue growth, 5 years
-5% a year
FY26 (14.2)% · 5-yr CAGR 19.2%
EBITDA margin
19.1%
FY26 19.1% · 5-yr average 19.5%
Depreciation · capex, % of revenue
3.1% · 10.2%, fading to 1.2× depreciation
FY26 3.1% · 10.2%
Working capital, % of added revenue · tax
30.1% · 25.4%
110 working-capital days · effective 25.4%
Discount rate
11.00%
1-yr beta 0.37
After FY31
5% flat · mid-year discounting
—
Net debt · non-controlling interest · non-operating investments
₹(1) · ₹0 · ₹0 cr
FY26 net debt ₹(1) cr
Shares
7.70 crore
7.70 crore today
Source: SEBI results XBRL as filed with BSE/NSE, exchange prices; the reader's assumptions.
Projected cash flow to the firm
₹ crore
FY26
FY27
FY28
FY29
FY30
FY31
Revenue
519
493
468
445
423
401
growth %
(14.2)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(5.0)
EBITDA
99
94
89
85
81
77
Depreciation
(16)
(15)
(15)
(14)
(13)
(12)
NOPAT
62
59
56
53
50
48
less capex
(53)
(50)
(40)
(31)
(23)
(15)
less working-capital build
—
8
7
7
7
6
Free cash flow to firm
—
32
38
43
48
52
Present value
30
32
33
33
32
Source: the model; base year as filed.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
Model Note · SHANTHI GEARS LTD · 11 September 2026Page 2 of 2
From enterprise to equity
PV of the 5 explicit years
161
PV of the terminal value (77% of EV)
538
Enterprise value
698
less net debt
1
less non-controlling interest
0
add non-operating investments
0
Equity value
699
÷ 7.70 crore shares
₹91
Source: the model.
Sensitivity, ₹ per share
WACC ↓ · terminal growth →
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
10.0%
94
101
109
119
132
10.5%
87
92
99
107
117
11.0%
80
85
91
98
106
11.5%
75
79
84
89
96
12.0%
70
74
78
83
88
Source: the model; n/a where terminal growth reaches the discount rate.
Statement
This note is the reader's own model over publicly filed information: SEBI results XBRL filed with BSE and NSE and exchange price data, assembled by MarketPing software; every assumption above is the reader's. It contains no research recommendation, no price target and no opinion by MarketPing on the merits of any security, and is not a research report within the meaning of the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, Regulation 2(1)(w)(vii). Historical per-share figures are on the current share count. Where a figure is unavailable the table shows a dash rather than an estimate. Nothing here constitutes investment advice, an offer or a solicitation.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
