Models
SHREE RAMA MULTI TECH LTDSHREERAMAIndustrial Products
₹18per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹18implied FY26 P/E 10.0× · EV/EBITDA 6.3×
Against CMP ₹57.72−68.4%close of 28 Oct 2026
Growth the CMP implies—%no growth rate between −20% and 45% a year brings the value to the CMP on your other inputs
Value after FY3183%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹14₹28
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹38₹72
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 45 |
| PV of terminal value | 212 |
| Enterprise value | 256 |
| less net debt | (13) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | 243 |
| ÷ 13.35 crore shares | ₹18 |
83% of the value sits after FY31. Usual when return on capital sits near the cost of capital; the 5 explicit years carry little of it.
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | 19 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 28 |
| 10.50% | 17 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 24 |
| 11.00% | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 |
| 11.50% | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
| 12.00% | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18 |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹57.72; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | 11 · 18 · 25 |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.89 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.32 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.28 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 196 | 178 | 206 | 240 | 279 | 325 | 379 | 442 | 514 |
| growth % | 30.6 | (9.5) | 15.9 | 16.4 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 16.5 |
| EBITDA | 15 | 15 | 29 | 40 | 47 | 55 | 64 | 75 | 87 |
| margin % | 7.4 | 8.5 | 14.3 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 |
| less depreciation | (6) | (6) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (13) | (15) | (18) | (21) |
| EBIT | 8 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 36 | 42 | 49 | 57 | 66 |
| less tax on EBIT | (8) | (9) | (11) | (13) | (15) | (17) | |||
| NOPAT | 23 | 27 | 31 | 36 | 42 | 49 | |||
| add depreciation | 6 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 21 |
| less capex | (4) | (12) | (39) | (16) | (19) | (20) | (22) | (23) | (25) |
| less working-capital build | — | (13) | (15) | (18) | (21) | (24) | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | (1) | 9 | (19) | — | 6 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 20 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 22, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 31 | 36 | 42 | 49 | 57 | 66 |
| Interest at 3.5% on debt | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
| Profit before tax | 35 | 41 | 48 | 56 | 66 | |
| Profit after tax | 25 | 26 | 30 | 35 | 41 | 48 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 9 | 14 | 21 | 32 | 47 | 67 |
| Working capital | 80 | 93 | 109 | 127 | 148 | 172 |
| Net block and other assets | 139 | 147 | 154 | 160 | 166 | 170 |
| Debt | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
| Equity | 178 | 204 | 234 | 269 | 311 | 359 |
| Balance check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | 24 | 28 | 33 | 38 | 45 | |
| Investing (capex) | (19) | (20) | (22) | (23) | (25) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 20 | |
| Free cash flow to equity | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 20 | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | 16.5% | 16.9% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹18 | (68.4)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.