Models
SVP GLOBAL TEXTILES LTDSVPGLOB
₹-143per share · Base Model Note
Revenue growth, the horizon and scenarios are yours to change. Every other input is part of the Trader plan; saving, sharing a saved link and the live-formula workbook are part of the Institutional plan.
Scenario
Value per share, your model₹(143)implied FY26 P/E —× · EV/EBITDA 7.0×
Against CMP ₹3.38−4342.4%close of 2026-09-20
Growth the CMP implies45.0%revenue, a year for 5 years, on your other inputs
Value after FY3154%share of enterprise value in the terminal
This figure is the arithmetic of your inputs and nothing else. MarketPing publishes no fair value, target or rating; the model is yours.
Where the methods land · ₹ per share · the dashed line is the CMP
DCF, rate ±1 · growth ±1your model across the sensitivity grid
₹(157)₹(117)
52-week rangetraded range, a fact not a value
₹2₹7
From enterprise to equity · ₹ crore
| PV of FY27–FY31 free cash flow | 489 |
| PV of terminal value | 568 |
| Enterprise value | 1,057 |
| less net debt | (2,871) |
| less non-controlling interest | 0 |
| add non-operating investments | 0 |
| Equity value | (1,814) |
| ÷ 12.65 crore shares | ₹(143) |
Free cash flow, filed and modelled · ₹ '000 crore
Filed, cash from operations − capexModelled free cash flow to firm
Sensitivity · ₹ per share
Down Across| WACC ↓terminal growth → | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.00% | (141) | (137) | (131) | (125) | (117) |
| 10.50% | (146) | (142) | (138) | (133) | (126) |
| 11.00% | (150) | (147) | (143) | (139) | (134) |
| 11.50% | (154) | (151) | (148) | (144) | (140) |
| 12.00% | (157) | (155) | (152) | (149) | (146) |
The outlined cell is your model. Green figures sit above the CMP of ₹3.38; n/a marks a terminal growth at or above the discount rate. Steps: WACC and terminal growth ±0.5 point, growth ±2, margin ±1.
Distribution of outcomes · 4,000 draws · growth, margin and the discount rate vary together
| 10th · 50th · 90th percentile, ₹ per share | (158) · (143) · (127) |
| Draws below the CMP | 100% |
| Rank correlation with ebitda margin | +0.87 |
| Rank correlation with discount rate | −0.46 |
| Rank correlation with revenue growth | −0.02 |
Each driver is drawn from a PERT distribution between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios (or ±50% growth, ±20% margin when there is one scenario), with the discount rate ±1.5 points. Seeded, so the same inputs give the same picture.
Projected cash flow to the firm · ₹ crore
History Forward| ₹ crore | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 918 | 302 | 92 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| growth % | (46.7) | (67.1) | (69.5) | (94.5) | (5.0) | (5.0) | (5.0) | (5.0) | (5.0) |
| EBITDA | 8 | (118) | (583) | 151 | 143 | 136 | 129 | 123 | 117 |
| margin % | 0.9 | (39.0) | (631.9) | 2997.2 | 2997.2 | 2997.2 | 2997.2 | 2997.2 | 2997.2 |
| less depreciation | (99) | (112) | (105) | (107) | (102) | (97) | (92) | (87) | (83) |
| EBIT | (91) | (230) | (688) | 44 | 42 | 40 | 38 | 36 | 34 |
| less tax on EBIT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| NOPAT | 45 | 43 | 41 | 39 | 37 | 35 | |||
| add depreciation | 99 | 112 | 105 | 107 | 102 | 97 | 92 | 87 | 83 |
| less capex | (14) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (29) | (55) | (78) | (99) |
| less working-capital build | — | 45 | 42 | 40 | 38 | 36 | |||
| Free cash flow to firm | (331) | (28) | (276) | — | 189 | 151 | 116 | 84 | 55 |
| Discount factor | 0.949 | 0.855 | 0.770 | 0.694 | 0.625 | ||||
| Present value | 179 | 129 | 89 | 58 | 34 |
History columns are the filed years (free cash flow there is cash from operations − capex, as filed); the base year and everything to its right come from the engine. Forward is the explicit horizon of the model itself: 3, 5 or 10 years, then flat.
The three statements, projected · ₹ crore · debt held at 2,875, dividends at 0% of profit
| ₹ crore | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| EBIT | 44 | 42 | 40 | 38 | 36 | 34 |
| Interest at 8% on debt | (230) | (230) | (230) | (230) | (230) | |
| Profit before tax | (188) | (190) | (192) | (194) | (196) | |
| Profit after tax | 68 | (193) | (195) | (197) | (199) | (201) |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Balance sheet, year end | ||||||
| Cash | 5 | (42) | (127) | (247) | (400) | (581) |
| Working capital | 894 | 850 | 807 | 767 | 728 | 692 |
| Net block and other assets | 1,910 | 1,808 | 1,741 | 1,704 | 1,695 | 1,712 |
| Debt | 2,875 | 2,875 | 2,875 | 2,875 | 2,875 | 2,875 |
| Equity | (673) | (867) | (1,062) | (1,259) | (1,458) | (1,659) |
| Balance check | 0 | (0) | (0) | (0) | 0 | 0 |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| From operations | (47) | (56) | (65) | (74) | (82) | |
| Investing (capex) | 0 | (29) | (55) | (78) | (99) | |
| Financing (dividends) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Net change in cash | (47) | (85) | (120) | (152) | (181) | |
| Free cash flow to equity | (47) | (85) | (120) | (152) | (181) | |
Other liabilities are held at their FY26 level, so the check tests only what the model moves: cash, working capital, net block and other assets, debt and equity. A non-zero check would mean the three statements no longer tie.
Scenarios side by side · ₹ per share
| Scenario | Template | Growth | Margin | Rate | Terminal | ₹ / share | vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base · editing | DCF | -5% | 2997.2% | 11.00% | 5% | ₹(143) | (4342.4)% |
A scenario is a full set of inputs under a name. Keep Base as the filed history carried forward; add Bull and Bear by saving the current inputs under those names and moving the two or three assumptions you actually hold a view on. The distribution above draws each driver between the lowest and highest value across your scenarios, so three scenarios give it a real range; with one scenario it falls back to fixed bands.