The note is the current scenario (Base). Download PDF renders this page on the server, fonts and colours exact; Print uses the browser.
Model Note · TATA POWER CO LTD · 11 September 2026Page 1 of 2
Model Note
Prepared by the reader · not a MarketPing document
TATA POWER CO LTD Discounted cash flow · base FY26
TATA POWER CO LTD
Value per share, this model₹(87)
CMP 2026-09-10₹364.65
Difference(123.8)%
Growth the CMP implies33.8%/yr
This note states the assumptions and the arithmetic of one model of TATA POWER CO LTD, built on its filed FY26 consolidated statements. The value is the outcome of the assumptions below and nothing else; it is not a fair value, a target or a recommendation.
Assumptions
Input
This model
Filed reference
Revenue growth, 5 years
-4.5% a year
FY26 (4.7)% · 5-yr CAGR 14.0%
EBITDA margin
20.8%
FY26 20.8% · 5-yr average 18.2%
Depreciation · capex, % of revenue
7.7% · 21.9%, fading to 1.2× depreciation
FY26 7.7% · 21.9%
Working capital, % of added revenue · tax
3.8% · 32.5%
14 working-capital days · effective 32.5%
Discount rate
11.00%
1-yr beta 0.76
After FY31
5% flat · mid-year discounting
—
Net debt · non-controlling interest · non-operating investments
₹66,713 · ₹0 · ₹0 cr
FY26 net debt ₹66,713 cr
Shares
319.56 crore
319.56 crore today
Source: SEBI results XBRL as filed with BSE/NSE, exchange prices; the reader's assumptions.
Projected cash flow to the firm
₹ crore
FY26
FY27
FY28
FY29
FY30
FY31
Revenue
62,429
59,619
56,936
54,374
51,927
49,591
growth %
(4.7)
(4.5)
(4.5)
(4.5)
(4.5)
(4.5)
EBITDA
13,001
12,401
11,843
11,310
10,801
10,315
Depreciation
(4,811)
(4,591)
(4,384)
(4,187)
(3,998)
(3,818)
NOPAT
5,528
5,272
5,035
4,808
4,592
4,385
less capex
(13,695)
(13,057)
(10,667)
(8,466)
(6,442)
(4,582)
less working-capital build
—
107
102
97
93
89
Free cash flow to firm
—
(3,087)
(1,146)
626
2,241
3,710
Present value
(2,930)
(980)
482
1,556
2,320
Source: the model; base year as filed.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
Model Note · TATA POWER CO LTD · 11 September 2026Page 2 of 2
From enterprise to equity
PV of the 5 explicit years
447
PV of the terminal value (99% of EV)
38,531
Enterprise value
38,979
less net debt
(66,713)
less non-controlling interest
0
add non-operating investments
0
Equity value
(27,734)
÷ 319.56 crore shares
₹(87)
Source: the model.
Sensitivity, ₹ per share
WACC ↓ · terminal growth →
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
10.0%
(82)
(70)
(56)
(38)
(16)
10.5%
(94)
(84)
(73)
(58)
(41)
11.0%
(105)
(97)
(87)
(75)
(61)
11.5%
(114)
(107)
(99)
(89)
(78)
12.0%
(122)
(116)
(109)
(101)
(91)
Source: the model; n/a where terminal growth reaches the discount rate.
Statement
This note is the reader's own model over publicly filed information: SEBI results XBRL filed with BSE and NSE and exchange price data, assembled by MarketPing software; every assumption above is the reader's. It contains no research recommendation, no price target and no opinion by MarketPing on the merits of any security, and is not a research report within the meaning of the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, Regulation 2(1)(w)(vii). Historical per-share figures are on the current share count. Where a figure is unavailable the table shows a dash rather than an estimate. Nothing here constitutes investment advice, an offer or a solicitation.
Every figure is the reader's model over filed numbers · No rating, target or fair value is expressedmarketping.in
