Allcargo Logistics Q4 FY25 earnings call

Mon 26 May 2025ALLCARGO

In brief

Management's tone
Mixed
What was said
Mixed
Guidance
None given
Analyst pushback
Low
Stock, next session
−4.16% (Nifty 50 +0.60%)
  • Net debt cut by INR142 cr in H2 FY25; net debt now INR472 cr on INR1,167 cr gross debt
  • Q4 consolidated revenue INR3,952 cr (+18% YoY), EBITDA INR115 cr (+16%); FY25 PAT INR49 cr
  • ISC FCL volumes +7% beat market +5-6%; air freight +30% YoY; total 8.9M cbm LCL, 650k TEU, 33M kg air
  • New ECU COO Jan Kleine-Lasthues (ex-Hellmann) and Finance Director Steve Dunn lead product and treasury overhaul
  • NCLT final hearing expected first week of July 2025; relisting likely 2-4 months thereafter

An AI read of the company's transcript · the filing

The numbers

The quarter, Q4 FY25

This quarterA year agoLast quarterMargin
Revenue₹3,952 cr+16.3%−3.7%
EBITDA (excl. other income)₹118 cr+18.3%−16.0%3% (2.9% a year ago)
Net profit₹-12.6 cr——-0.3% (-0.2% a year ago)
EPS (₹)₹-0.12——

From the company's filed results for the quarter ended 31 Mar 2025 (consolidated), not from the call. EBITDA here excludes other income, so it can differ from the figure management quotes.

The numbers management led with

  • Net debt reduction in H2 FY25: INR142 crores (gross debt -INR66 cr, cash +INR76 cr) over 6 months
  • Gross debt / Net debt at year end: Gross debt INR1,167 crores; Net debt INR472 crores
  • ISC gross debt and split: ISC gross debt ~INR500 crores (~INR470-480 cr working capital, ~INR80-90 cr long-term); India side ~INR200 cr long-term + ~INR300 cr working capital/short-term
  • ISC FCL volume growth vs market: FCL volumes +7% YoY vs global containerized trade +5-6%

The business

The industry, as management sees it

Management sees global trade rebounding sharply after the 90-day US tariff pause but warns of another ~3 months of supply chain disruption from capacity rebalancing between trade lanes, port congestion and empty container repositioning. Higher uncertainty typically benefits logistics yields and air freight demand, but the outcome is highly sensitive to whether US tariffs are removed, re-imposed, or merely extended to the EU.

Risks management named

  • US tariff pause is 90 days; renegotiation or re-imposition could disrupt trade again
  • FX revaluation losses (INR33 cr in Q4) from USD/EUR/INR movements on ISC balance sheet
  • Contract logistics white space from a specific chemical contract ending in FY26; margin dilution from quick commerce mix
  • Supply chain disruption expected to last another 3 months as capacity shifts between trade lanes
  • FY25 PAT of INR49 cr lower YoY due to exceptional items from sale of HORCL stake

Q&A

Only two analysts (Rishabh and Vikram Suryavanshi of PhillipCapital) asked questions across six substantive exchanges. The discussion stayed friendly and technical, with no aggressive pushback. Topics were evenly split: Vikram drilled into debt structure, working capital, supply chain outlook and capex; Rishabh asked about NCLT/relisting timeline and Contract Logistics margins. Management answered every question directly with numbers — including the first public ISC gross debt and working capital split — and the new global finance lead Steve Dunn supplemented on treasury strategy.

Every question, with its answer

  1. 1. NCLT and entity relisting

    Rishabh, Individual Investor

    Question. When can we expect the relisting of the newly formed entities after the NCLT approval?

    Answer, Ravi Jakhar, Director, Strategy and Group CFO. Management expects the next, potentially final, NCLT hearing in the first week of July 2025. From that point, the relisting process is typically 2 to 4 months.

  2. 2. Contract Logistics margins

    Rishabh, Individual Investor

    Question. In the Contract Logistics business we have seen significant reduction in margins — what is the reason and outlook?

    Answer, Ravi Jakhar, Director, Strategy and Group CFO. Two components: (1) quick commerce growth has a different margin profile than the legacy chemical contract logistics business; (2) elevated white space driven by a specific contract coming to an end in coming quarters. The reversal of white space should improve margins but they will remain below historical averages; the 48% revenue growth should still add incremental profits.

  3. 3. Debt structure

    Vikram Suryavanshi, PhillipCapital India

    Question. What would be the gross debt on the international supply chain business now? And can you give the working capital / long-term split for ISC and India?

    Answer, Ravi Jakhar, Director, Strategy and Group CFO. ISC gross debt ~INR500 cr, of which ~INR470-480 cr is working capital and ~INR80-90 cr is long-term. India side: ~INR200 cr long-term borrowing (further reduced post March 31) and ~INR300 cr working capital/short-term. In total ~INR800-900 cr is working-capital or short-term in nature.

  4. 4. Working capital and treasury

    Vikram Suryavanshi, PhillipCapital India

    Question. How is the working capital situation in terms of business requirement — is it getting tighter or is there not much pressure?

    Answer, Ravi Jakhar, Director, Strategy and Group CFO. Working capital has reduced — partly from slightly lower average freight rates on a like-for-like basis but mainly from improved collections, lower DSO and better payables management. Interest impact comes from both lower working capital and central cash pooling. Steve Dunn added that ECU is expanding usage of global pooling (physical and notional) with the primary bank to extract funds into a central bank and offset interest, and is also evaluating supplier trade credit programs and factoring to release cash from harder-to-repatriate countries.

  5. 5. Trade and supply chain outlook

    Vikram Suryavanshi, PhillipCapital India

    Question. Post the COVID experience, after the 90-day tariff pause, will trade normalization take additional time because of supply chain disruption, blank sailings and empty container repositioning?

    Answer, Jan Kleine-Lasthues, Chief Operating Officer, ECU Worldwide. Jan said capacity is already shifting from intra-Asia into the US trade lane and this will cause US port congestion and inland transport issues. The EU-US tariff pause will also create a demand rush. Normalization expected to take another ~3 months beyond the 90-day window, depending on whether tariffs are removed, return, or just extended. Higher rates from disruption are positive for logistics yields. Ravi added that short-term capacity realignment could disproportionately impact Asia-Europe lanes and cause freight rate surges.

  6. 6. Capex plan

    Vikram Suryavanshi, PhillipCapital India

    Question. What was total capex in FY25 and what is planned for FY26? Can you break it down between international supply chain and contract logistics?

    Answer, Ravi Jakhar, Director, Strategy and Group CFO. ISC capex ~INR30-60 cr in FY25 covering IT (Topaz to iTopaz upgrade) and CFS investment in Korea (mix of equity and debt). On the domestic side, only a small GEMS 2.0 IT capex. For FY26, no significant non-IT capex anywhere; the Contract Logistics business has moved to an operating-lease model for new warehouses — accounting depreciation but no cash outlay. Overall asset-light stance maintained.

What was said

Topic by topic, in the order it was spoken

Macro and Geopolitical Backdrop · Ravi Jakhar (Group CFO)

  • 90-day US tariff pause drove a sharp rebound in international trade in the last week of the quarter
  • China-US transpacific trade had dropped as much as 61% YoY in one recent week before rebounding
  • Indian Express industry is in double-digit growth; opportunity remains steadfast
  • Shipping cycle typically strengthens around June-July; 90-day pause could cause demand surge and short-term freight rate volatility

Q4 FY25 Financial Performance · Ravi Jakhar (Group CFO)

  • Consolidated revenue INR3,952 cr (+18% YoY); EBITDA INR115 cr (+16% YoY)
  • Net loss improved by ~INR9 cr but remained marginal due to INR33 cr FX revaluation loss on ISC balance sheet (USD/EUR/INR)
  • Loss was driven by accounting of asset/liability revaluation across country entities consolidated at Belgian level
  • PAT dip YoY also reflects exceptional items from sale of HORCL stake and fair value gains on assets held for sale (non-repeating)

International Supply Chain — Volume and Mix · Ravi Jakhar (Group CFO)

  • LCL volumes grew 1% in FY25 — better than a contracting industry; abnormal LCL growth from prior years reversed
  • FCL volumes +7% vs global containerized trade +5-6% (outperformance)
  • Air freight volumes +30% YoY; handled 8.9M cbm LCL, 650,000 TEUs FCL, 33M kg air cargo in FY25
  • ISC segment revenue +25% and EBITDA +4% despite one-off expenses

Domestic Supply Chain — Express and Contract Logistics · Ravi Jakhar (Group CFO)

  • Express business: revenue +2%, EBITDA +34% on cost optimization and pruning of loss-making customers
  • Contract Logistics: revenue +48% led by quick commerce exposure; EBITDA only +2% on white space
  • White space tied to a specific contract ending in FY26 plus in-season vacancy; margins should improve as space fills
  • Quick commerce yields a different margin profile than legacy chemical contract logistics — blended margin remains below historical

Balance Sheet and Working Capital · Ravi Jakhar (Group CFO)

  • H2 FY25: gross debt reduced by INR66 cr and cash/cash equivalents grew by INR76 cr — net debt reduction of ~INR142 cr in 6 months
  • Gross debt stands at INR1,167 cr; net debt at INR472 cr
  • Improvement driven by better collections, lower DSO, payables management and lower average freight rate
  • New regional disclosure: profitability robust in Latin America; previously loss-making ISC countries have turned around

ECU Worldwide — Operations Strategy (New COO) · Jan Kleine-Lasthues (COO, ECU Worldwide)

  • Jan joined as Global COO in December 2024; 26+ years in logistics across Hellmann (13 yrs, last 6 as COO) and SDV/Bollore/CEVA (12 yrs)
  • Implementing end-to-end business process management to enable shared service centers and productivity gains
  • Three regional shared service centers operational: APAC, Americas, and now Europe — drives staff cost reduction
  • LCL remains core and most profitable; product management being built out for FCL, Air Freight and CFS to diversify revenue

Global Finance Transformation · Stephen Dunn (Finance Director, ECU Worldwide)

  • Steve joined 6 months ago to lead full finance transformation; optimize and right-size finance function
  • Focus areas: improved working capital / higher ROCE, cost reduction via outsourcing and automation, high-performance culture
  • Rolled out Microsoft 365 globally; now operationalizing the platform
  • Reviewing treasury and FX management to reduce USD/EUR/INR conversion inconsistencies — large part non-cash

In their words

We have, in the second half of FY '25, itself been able to reduce our gross debt by INR66 crores while, at the same time, our cash and cash equivalents increased by INR76 crores, which meant that over the last 6 months, we saw a debt deduction of almost INR142 crores.
Ravi Jakhar (Director, Strategy and Group CFO, Allcargo Logistics Limited)
We have our next, which potentially could be the final hearing with NCLT in the first week of July. And from there on, typically, in our estimate, it should be about anywhere between 2 months, 2, 3.5, 4 months kind of a process.
Ravi Jakhar (Director, Strategy and Group CFO, Allcargo Logistics Limited)
I believe we will see more capacity shifting on that trade lane... overall, I think it's very uncertain, and it will go beyond the 90 days. So empty container equipment repositioning, but as well capacity repositioning as well as congestion in the ports. So all over, well, our expectation is at least it takes another 3 months until we have a normalized situation.
Jan Kleine-Lasthues (Chief Operating Officer, ECU Worldwide)

Transcript

We have not transcribed this call's recording. Read the company's transcript (PDF).

The stock after the call

After the callCloseStockNifty 50
Next session Mon 26 May 2025₹30.44−4.16%+0.60%
5 sessions Fri 30 May 2025₹30.43−4.19%−0.41%
20 sessions Fri 20 Jun 2025₹33.94+6.86%+1.04%

From the close of Fri 23 May 2025, ₹31.76: the close before the call day (the call's time is not on file). Adjusted daily closes; the move includes everything else that happened in those sessions.

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